At least six months before ‘we can get back to normal’
Journalists have asked what the current forecast for the trajectory of the pandemic is. Robert Jenrick has responding that the lockdown will not be be over soon:
“Nobody is pretending that this will be over in a few weeks… but if we all play our part and follow the medical advice we can turn the tide of this virus.”
Jenny Harries, the deputy chief medical officer for England, added that it would be “foolish” for us to think that the measures introduced in the last fortnight would already be reflected in case data, saying the virus is like a “moving feast”.
She said that in two to three months we would be able to “see if we have really squashed it”, but that we would have some “proof” within the next two or three weeks whether the measures in place have started to work.
Dr Harries added that she hoped that after six months we would be at a point were “we can get back to normal”:
“We actually anticipate our numbers will get worse over the next week, possibly two, and then we are looking to see whether we have managed to push that curve down and we start to see a decline.
“This is not to say we would be in complete lockdown for six months, but as a nation we have to be really, really responsible and keep doing what we’re all doing until we’re sure we can gradually start lifting various interventions which are likely to be spaced – based on the science and our data – until we gradually come back to a normal way of living.”
“To make it clear to the public: if we are successful we will have squashed the top of that curve which is brilliant, but we must not just return to our normal way of living, that would be quite dangerous…
The bottom line is: keep practicing social distancing.”